Fiscal Expansion in The EU and Scale Effect on Growth Deviations of Developing Economies

Authors

  • Niyazi Özker

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14738/assrj.96.12530

Keywords:

Economic Growth, Emerging Economies, European Unity, Fiscal Expanding, Monetary Policies.

Abstract

The accelerating effect of financial support and incentives creates different growing trends in countries representing emerging economies. This phenomenon is the subject of other economic growth models in a process in which the expected public supports positively affects emerging economies, including financial monetary policies. Besides the structural effects of the budgetary expansion phenomenon, this study aims to analyse the contribution to economic growth, especially in countries representing emerging economies within the EU's scope and put forth the scale values for determining possible deviations in response to increasing monetary expansions. These countries have different actual economic growth trends from EU countries, which mean different fiscal policy targets within the scope of the public economy have created other efficiency deviations in expenditure-based policies. It is observed that the fact that public financial support does not appear solely based on public expenditures and that their possible indirect effects on the public budget have a different impact on the target economic growth trends in an expanding fiscal process. Here, the problem for emerging economies is to achieve a controlled fiscal expansion and public spending trends without causing possible macroeconomic deviations from target economic growth. Whether the fiscal-budgetary expansion will include a possible inflationary process in the expansion of the monetary base can also be followed in the empirical process in which the monetary policy targets and the fiscal policies in practice form the basis of possible conflict.

References

Beyer, A., Nicoletti, G., Papadopoulou, N., Papsdorf, P., Rünstler, G., Schwarz, C., Sousa, J. and Vergote, O. (2017), The Transmission Channels of Monetary, Macro- and Microprudential Policies and Their Interrelations, European Central Bank Occasional Paper Series No 191 / May 2017, Frankfurt am Main: European Central Bank, 2017.

Kirchner, M., Cimadomo, J. and Hauptmeier, S. (2010), Transmission of Government Spending Shocks in The Euro Area Time Variation and Driving Forces, European Central Bank Working Pa per Serie s No 1219 / July 2010, Frankfurt am Main: European Central Bank, 2010.

ECB (2021), Work Stream on Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions: Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions in The Euro Area, European Central Bank-ECB No 273 / September 2021, Frankfurt am Main: European Central Bank (ECB), 2021.

Banco de España (2022), The European Central Bank’s New Monetary Policy Strategy, Anuario del euro 2022/2022 Euro Year Book 17 February 2022, Barcelona: Banco de España Communication Department (2022).

Eurostat (2010), GDP & Beyond Focus on Measuring Economic Development and Well-Being, Sıgma The Bulletin of European Statistics, Frankfurt am Main: Eurostat, 2010.

European Commission (2020), Debt Sustainability Monitor-2020, Institutional Paper 143 /| February 2021, Brussels: European Commission, 2020.

ECB (1999), Annual Report 1999 to 2010, Frankfurt am Main: European Central Bank (ECB), 1999.

ECB (2000), Convergence Report 2000 to 2010, Frankfurt am Main: European Central Bank (ECB), 2000.

ECB (2006), Monetary and Exchange Rate Arrangements of the Euro Area with Selected Third Countries and Territories, Monthly Bulletin, April 2006, Frankfurt am Main: European Central Bank (ECB), 2006.

ECB (2008), Monthly Bulletin – 10th anniversary of the ECB, special edition, May, Frankfurt am Main: European Central Bank (ECB), 2008.

ECB (2008), One Monetary Policy and Many Fiscal Policies – Ensuring A Smooth Functioning of EMU, Monthly Bulletin, July 2008, Frankfurt am Main: European Central Bank (ECB), 2008.

ECB (2009), Rotation of Voting Rights in The Governing Council of The ECB, Monthly Bulletin, July 2009, Frankfurt am Main: European Central Bank (ECB), 2009.

ECB (2010), The ECB’s Relations with European Union Institutions and Bodies – Trends and Prospects, Monthly Bulletin, January 2010, Frankfurt am Main: European Central Bank (ECB), 2010.

ECB (2011), The Monetary Policy of the ECB, Frankfurt am Main: European Central Bank (ECB) Publications, 2011.

European Commission (2021), Recommendation for A Council Recommendation on The Economic Policy of The Euro Area, Brussels, 24.11.2021 COM (2021) 742 final, Brussels: European Commission, 2021.

Congressional Research Service (2022), The European Union: Questions and Answers, Search CRS Reports-RS21372, Washington D.C.: Congressional Research Service Publications, 2022.

Badia, M. M., Arbelaez, J. G. and Xiang, Y. (2021), Debt Dynamics in Emerging and Developing Economies: Is R-G a Red Herring?, IMF Working Paper WP/21/229, Washington D.C.: International Monetary Fund (IMF) Fiscal Affairs Department, 2021.

Baltzer, M., Cappiello, L., Santis, R. A. De and Manganelli, S. (2008), Measuring Financial Integration in New EU Member States, European Central Bank Occasional Paper Series No.81 / March 2008, Frankfurt am Main: European Central Bank (ECB), 2008.

ECB (2018), Real and Financial Cycles in EU Countries: Stylised Facts and Modelling Implications, European Central Bank (ECB) Occasional Paper Series No 205 / January 2018, Frankfurt am Main: European Central Bank (ECB), 2018.

European Commission (2008), Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in The EU: Long-Run Tendencies and Short-Term Adjustment, Economic Paper 300 / February 2008, Brussels: European Commission, 2008.

ECB (2022), Financial Integration and Structure in the Euro Area, ECB Committee on Financial Integration April 2022, Frankfurt am Main: European Central Bank (ECB) Committee on Financial Integration, 2022.

Cantú, C., Cavallino, P., Fiore, F. D. and Yetman, J. (2021), A Global Database on Central Banks’ Monetary Responses to Covid-19, Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Working Papers No 934, Basel: Bank for International Settlements (BIS), 2021.

IMF (2017), Back to Basics: Economic Concepts Explained, Washington D.C.: International Monetary Fund (IMF), 2017.

EViews (2021), Unit Root Testing, in User’s Guide: Advanced Univariate Analysis: Univariate Time Series Analysis: Unit Root Testing, 2021. http://www.eviews.com/help/helpintro.html#page/content/ advtimeser-Unit_Root_Testing.html (Accessed Jun, 02.2021).

VOXEU/CEPR (2020), Reforming the EU Fiscal Framework: Now is the Time, https://voxeu.org/article/reforming-eu-fiscal-framework-now-time (Accessed May, 30.2022).

Downloads

Published

2022-06-24

How to Cite

Özker, N. (2022). Fiscal Expansion in The EU and Scale Effect on Growth Deviations of Developing Economies. Advances in Social Sciences Research Journal, 9(6), 178–191. https://doi.org/10.14738/assrj.96.12530