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European Journal of Applied Sciences – Vol. 10, No. 5
Publication Date: October 25, 2022
DOI:10.14738/aivp.105.13152. Gurevitz, M. (2022). Has Humanity Reached the Stationary Phase of its Growth Curve? European Journal of Applied Sciences, 10(5).
169-170.
Services for Science and Education – United Kingdom
Has Humanity Reached the Stationary Phase of its Growth Curve?
Michael Gurevitz
Department of Plant Molecular Biology and Ecology
George S. Wise Faculty of Life Sciences, Tel Aviv University
Ramat Aviv 69978, Tel Aviv, Israel
The current military aggression of Russia in Ukraine and of China against Taiwan, in addition
to the terror instigated by Iran and North Korea, as well as the establishment of organizations
such as Al Qaeda and ISIS, raise fears of a chaotic future and demolition of the order achieved
after World War II. As this frightening political situation is added in the background of
detrimental outcomes of human activities that jeopardize the fragile balance between our
survival needs and nature (e.g., loss of many species and destruction of ecosystems and food- chains; impairment of protecting atmospheric compounds and increase in hazardous
irradiation; rise of temperature causing ice melting and elevation of sea level; massive
contamination of the environment and food products), the risks to humanity have greatly
intensified. Considering this chaotic situation as well as the escalation in religious-based fanatic
aspirations (mostly Muslim Jihad, women oppression and primitive comportment), it seems
that humanity has reached a critical stage that can readily deteriorate to extinction. No doubt,
the present situation demands intervention using radical measures. Instead and quite
disappointing, this distressing reality is exacerbated by a ‘hard to contain’ and ‘apathy’ of the
international community, witnessing threats and early destructive signs along rise of
extremism with scientifically-ignorant, yet aggressive world leaders ready to die and ‘take the
entire planet with’ in their fight for political survival and economic control.
This sad reality resembles in a way the growth curve of bacterial cells in a laboratory flask.
When the bacterial inoculum is small and the resources are in excess, the cells thrive and
multiply reaching a logarithmic growth phase of exponential doubling. When the cell density is
high and the resources in the growth medium drop beyond a certain level, the culture enters
into a stationary phase (plateau of the growth curve) wherefrom multiplication and death
compensate one another: many bacteria die while others feed on leftover resources and on
degradation products of the dead. When the cells are too dense and no resources remain,
multiplication ceases and the entire cell culture dies (growth curve declines). Unfortunately,
this plastic description may also suit the current situation of mankind. It seems that despite the
enormous advances in most life aspects, as well as the prodigious aspirations of reaching to the
stars, we have arrived at a critical point where the battle over resources, destruction of our
environment, and endless military threats, endanger our existence, and so the question that
arises is “Have we reached the stationary phase of our growth curve”? As bizarre as it may
sound, most people are unaware to the risks, or quite apathic, while exhibiting spurious
optimism (a built-in default that suppresses the anxiety and fears). To our shame, the public
apathy is also reflected through the main subjects broadcasted in the media: Rather than
dealing seriously with the global risks in an attempt to at least understand the problems, the
main attention is directed to hedonistic issues (e.g., food; life-style; movie stars; sports) with
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almost neglection of the scary future. An obvious question is what could people do to stop this
rush toward catastrophe besides ‘waiting for the messiah’. While the public expects his leaders
to be aware to putative dangers and take the necessary measures, most of these politicians
either do not understand the situation, or due to scientific ignorance and hands full in
maintaining their power and control, do almost nothing. It seems that confrontation with the
global risks requires a few fundamental, almost utopic changes: (1) Operative steps to minimize
the global risks that should be dictated by a united world leadership, which requires ‘out of box’
thinking and basic alterations in the world perception of economic, cultural and religious needs;
(2) Fighting over territories, resources, religious belief, gender, and aggressive racism should
be diminished, and all nations must contribute to the global survival efforts;(3) The unbearable
military threats of using nuclear power or biological weapons must be totally banned. Any
violator should be removed instantaneously from chair, even by force, as necessary; (4)
Initiatives and publicity campaigns explaining the necessity of major alterations in the life
habits of humanity (e.g., Greta Thunbergs’ brave attempts to convince the world about the need
to reduce the green-house effect of global warming), should be fortified.
Overall, this annotation is an urgent reminder that must evade peoples’ complacency and belief
that if nothing awful happened to our planet and mankind during thousands of years, it won’t
happen in the near future. This short-looking view arising from perplexed mind fatigue,
pressures of daily survival, worldwide compulsory struggle over resources, and mostly from
ignorance, must be eradicated.